Foresight Research as а Strategic Planning Component
Abstract
An important component of the state organizational and economic mechanism to promote high-tech production is the presence of a well-established system of strategic planning, which helps to determine the trajectory of long-term changes in technological competitiveness. Creating an effective policy framework in the field of science, technology and innovation (STI), its planning is an important element of a sustainable policy system. Roadmaps, on the basis of which development strategies and plans for achieving the set goals are developed, are a modern tool of strategic planning, in particular in the field of STI. From the point of view of economic and social management, the technological foresight, as an element of the roadmap, provides the basis for the decision-making process on science and innovation by identifying key long-term prospects for science, technology, innovation and long-term investment in STI. Foresight outlines future priorities for science and innovation, focusing on various aspects of projected change. Prediction is not the same as forecasting. While forecasting tries to predict a single «correct» version of the future, Forsythe uses several alternative plausible futures based on their usefulness to develop sound, forward-looking policies. The object of research of this work is the roadmap of science, technology, innovation (STI), as a tool for strategic planning in the field of STI; subject — foresight research. The main purpose of this work is to study the structure of the STI roadmap and the place of foresight research in it, to develop recommendations for integrating the results of the national technological foresight in the regulatory field of Ukraine. To achieve this goal, the article presents the stages of road map development, outlines the place of Foresight in it, presents a brief methodology and the results of foresight research conducted in Ukraine in 2021. These results represent new priority areas for the development of science, technology, innovation, which will be approved by the Law of Ukraine and the basis of plans for STI contributions to the Development Strategies of various sectors of Ukraine and for the Sustainable Development Goals.
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