Artificial Intelligence In The Central Bank: Benefits And Risks Of Public Administration

  • Artur DUDNICHENKO National Bank of Ukraine
Keywords: central bank, artificial intelligence, financial stability

Abstract

The article analyzes the benefits and risks of using artificial intelligence (AI) in the public administration of central banks. Using the method of discourse analysis, the advantages and risks of introducing AI into the activities of central banks are investigated. The author also considers the Concept of Artificial Intelligence Development in Ukraine, approved by the Resolution of the Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine № 1156-r dated 02.12.2020, which defines the priority areas of AI development and the areas to which this initiative is directed. Using AI in central banks can help improve the analysis of large amounts of data, which in turn will help forecast economic trends and manage financial risks. One of the main advantages is the ability to automate routine processes, allowing employees to focus on strategic tasks. An important aspect is the collection of microeconomic and non-economic data from various sources, including the Internet. In addition, AI provides the ability to use synthetic data, which expands the possibilities for analysis. However, the use of AI also carries significant risks. These include problems with data privacy, the risk of false conclusions based on synthetic data, the impact of built-in biases in AI models, and the difficulty of explaining policy decisions. Cybersecurity is a separate issue, as the introduction of AI makes systems more vulnerable to cyberattacks. AI is expected to be increasingly integrated into key functions of central banks, including monetary policy-making and financial risk management. This will allow central banks to make more informed decisions and increase the efficiency of their operations. In addition, the introduction of AI will facilitate the development of information technology and improve analytical capabilities, which will ultimately reduce the workload of employees. At the same time, an important part of the analysis is the impact of AI on the transformation of modern approaches to public administration, especially in the context of the digitalization of the economy. AI can change traditional management methods by offering new tools for decision-making, but it also requires more careful regulation to avoid negative consequences. Therefore, a balanced implementation of these technologies is needed, taking into account potential risks and benefits. This study is a step in understanding how artificial intelligence can change the role of central banks in the modern economy, and how regulatory approaches need to be adapted to ensure the safe and effective implementation of these technologies.

References

Tucker, P., & Council, S. R. The political economy of central banking in the digital age. Bank of England Quarterly Bulletin, Q1. SUERF Policy Note. 2017. Iss. 13. The European Money and Finance Forum. URL: https://t.ly/2HioN.

Dow S. Monetary Reform, Central Banks, and Digital Currencies. International Journal of Political Economy. 2019. Vol. 48, Iss. 2: Special Issue on the Challenges of Cryptocurrencies. P. 153–173. URL: https://doi.org/10.1080/08911916.2019.1624317.

Raskin M., Yermack D. (2016). Digital currencies, decentralized ledgers, and the future of central banking. National Bureau of Economic Research. URL: https://doi.org/10.3386/w22238.

Milana C., Ashta A. Artificial intelligence techniques in finance and financial markets: a survey of the literature. Strategic Change. 2021. Vol. 30, Iss. 3: Special Issue: Artificial intelligence in finance. P. 189–209. URL: https://doi.org/10.1002/jsc.2403.

Bahrammirzaee A. A comparative survey of artificial intelligence applications in finance: artificial neural networks, expert system, and hybrid intelligent systems. Neural Computing and Applications. 2010. Vol. 19. P. 1165–1195. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00521-010-0362-z.

Königstorfer F., Thalmann S. Applications of Artificial Intelligence in commercial banks — A research agenda for behavioral finance. Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance. 2020. Vol. 27. 100352. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbef.2020.100352.

Veloso M., Balch T., Borrajo D. et al. Artificial intelligence research in finance: discussion and examples. Oxford Review of Economic Policy. 2021. Vol. 37, Iss. 3. P. 564–584. https://doi.org/10.1093/oxrep/grab019.

Goodell J. W., Kumar S., Lim W. M. et al. Artificial intelligence and machine learning in finance: Identifying foundations, themes, and research clusters from bibliometric analysis. Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance. 2021. Vol. 32. 100577. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbef.2021.100577.

Buchanan B. Artificial intelligence in finance (02.04.2019). Zenodo. http://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.2612537.

Tadapaneni N. R. Artificial intelligence in finance and investments. International Journal of Innovative Research in Science, Engineering and Technology. 2020. Vol. 9, Iss. 5. URL: https://t.ly/_Pzf6.

Lin T. C. Artificial intelligence, finance, and the law. Fordham Law Review. 2019. Vol. 88, Iss. 2. URL: https://t.ly/ixsIc.

Kahyaoglu H. The Impact of Artificial Intelligence on Central Banking and Monetary Policies. The Impact of Artificial Intelligence on Governance, Economics and Finance. Ed. S. B. Kahyaoğlu. 1st ed. Springer Nature Singapore, 2021. Springer Professional. URL: https://t.ly/x-RU-.

Lopez-Corleone M., Begum S., Sixuan Li G. Artificial intelligence (AI) from a regulator’s perspective: The future of AI in central banking and financial services. Journal of AI, Robotics & Workplace Automation. 2022. Vol. 2, Iss. 1. P. 7–16. URL: https://doi.org/10.69554/PLKT5729.

Концепція розвитку штучного інтелекту в Україні, схвалена розпорядженням Кабінету Міністрів України від 02.12.2020 № 1556-р. Верховна Рада України. Законодавство України. URL: https://t.ly/5oJbI.

Ozili P. K. Big data and artificial intelligence for financial inclusion: benefits and issues. Artificial Intelligence Fintech, and Financial Inclusion. Ozili, Peterson K, Big Data and Artificial Intelligence for Financial Inclusion: Benefits and Issues (14.01.2021). URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3766097.

Swinburne M. 25 Central Bank Independence and Central Bank Functions. In The Evolving Role of Central Banks. USA: International Monetary Fund. 1991. https://doi.org/10.5089/9781557751850.071.ch026.

Neyapti B. Budget deficits and inflation: the roles of central bank independence and financial market development. Contemporary Economic Policy. 2003. Vol. 21, Iss. 4. P. 458–475. URL: https://doi.org/10.1093/cep/byg025.

Jackson J. P., Manning M. J. Central bank intraday collateral policy and implications for tiering in RTGS payment systems. The future of payment systems. Eds. S. Millard, A. Haldane, V. Saporta. 1st ed. London : Routledge 2007. URL: https://doi.org/10.4324/9780203940143.

Nabilou H., Prum A. Central banks and regulation of cryptocurrencies. Review of Banking and Financial Law. Vol. 39, Iss. 2. P. 1003–1104. University of Luxembourg. URL: https://t.ly/hVdRA.

Штучний інтелект та інші виклики: як цифровий банкінг трансформується в Україні (23.11.2023). FinTech Insider. URL: https://t.ly/7dG4V.

Shabsigh G., Boukherouaa E. B. Generative Artificial Intelligence in Finance. Series: Fintech Notes. Publisher: International Monetary Fund, 2023. Vol. 2023, Iss. 006. URL: https://doi.org/10.5089/9798400251092.063.

Published
2024-08-12
Section
Public Administration